Portland — Lakers: forecast and bet for the 4th game of the NBA playoff series on August 25

Rate: Portland won with a handicap (+7.5 points) in 2.02.

The trail Blazers did the same thing all three games: a big roll toward the throw, a minimum of passes in the paint, attempts to build up the pace and run into a fast offense. This is quite logical, since the opponent’s chances are much higher in viscous and viscous basketball. Wards of Terry Stotts can only be closed for short periods.

The difference was a couple of factors. The first is the percentage of accuracy of long-range throws. In the first match, Los Angeles hit from behind the arc five times with 32 attempts (15.6%), with this implementation, it is almost impossible to win in the playoffs. Then things got better: 33% in the second game (10 out of 30) and 37% in the third (14 out of 38).

In addition, Frank Vogel did his homework after the first defeat. Anthony Davis is much more likely to fall inside and score points with high efficiency. 11 of 18 from the game in the second match, 13 of 21 — in the third. Terry Stotts even tried to release in the starting five Norceca and Labs at the same time, though, nothing good is not over.

And the last moment-LAL control the pace. At the start of the series, the teams had 102-103 possessions, and in the first 36 minutes of the third match, the pace was about 96 possessions per team. With this type of basketball, the odds of the favorite are higher: the defense is more powerful, and Lillard and McCollum have less space. They rely on the throw, but failed to catch for this reason. 1 of 5 from the perimeter from Daim, 1 of 7 from CJ.

If the Lakers can slow down their opponent again, then Portland will only have a real chance if someone from the back line benefits: 40+ points with a good hit percentage. Bookmakers ‘ quotes are quite offensive: on P1 they give a powerful coefficient of 4.25, as if we are talking about a sad outsider. In principle, P1 with a handicap (+7.5 points) for 2.02 can be considered.

The logic is this: Lillard and McCollum rarely fail two matches in a row, and the day before they did it synchronously. In addition, the latest matches of the game day are rarely one-wicket matches. If necessary, the referees are able to whistle a couple of times in the right direction in border situations to support the intrigue.”